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Clinical review: Bleeding - a notable complication of treatment in patients with acute coronary syndromes: incidence, predictors, classification, impact on prognosis, and management

Abstract

This article focuses on the incidence, predictors, classification, impact on prognosis, and management of bleeding associated with the treatment of acute coronary syndrome. The issue of bleeding complications is related to the continual improvement of ischemic heart disease treatment, which involves mainly (a) the widespread use of coronary angiography, (b) developments in percutaneous coronary interventions, and (c) the introduction of new antithrombotics. Bleeding has become an important health and economic problem and has an incidence of 2.0% to 17%. Bleeding significantly influences both the short- and long-term prognoses. If a group of patients at higher risk of bleeding complications can be identified according to known risk factors and a risk scoring system can be developed, we may focus more on preventive measures that should help us to reduce the incidence of bleeding.

Introduction

Selective coronary angiography as a diagnostic method followed by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) as a therapeutic method has become routine practice for patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) as well as for patients with stable forms of ischemic heart disease. As a result of the more widespread application of selective coronary angiography and PCI in general practice, a greater number of older people and patients with serious comorbidities are receiving this procedure. Owing to the development of new techniques for cardiac catheterization and the continual production of new generations of highly effective antiplatelet drugs, the care of patients with ACS has improved, resulting in reductions in rates of death due to ischemic events as well as periprocedural ischemic complications, ischemic stroke, and heart failure [1, 2]. All of these actions lead to an increased risk of bleeding complications in these patients which is significantly associated with worse short-term and long-term prognoses [3]. As a result of these findings, bleeding complications, which have been disregarded for quite some time, have become a highly significant medical and economic problem. If it is expected that more attention will be focused on this issue in the future, this attention should concurrently lead to a special effort of creating one standard bleeding complication classification which is necessary for unambiguous comparison of outcomes from clinical trials evaluating treatment strategies in ACS.

Incidence and predictors of bleeding complications

The incidence of bleeding complications in trials with patients with ACS varies, ranging from 2.0% to 17.6% [3–8]. These varying results come from trials examining different demographic data, access sites, cardiac catheterization techniques, and pharmacotherapy regimes and from randomized studies in which specific defined groups of patients are included and which do not reflect the real-world clinical experience. Several factors associated with an increased risk of periprocedural bleeding have been identified. These factors are age, gender, body weight, renal insufficiency, and the techniques used in invasive procedures [9]. Older age is a strong independent risk factor for major bleeding during hospitalization, and this risk factor increases by approximately 30% per decade of age [10]. Additionally, women and patients with renal insufficiency were found to exhibit a higher risk of hemorrhage and the risk rate is also associated with the use of invasive techniques and the sheath size [11]. Because these risk factors have been identified, the scale for predicting the risk for the development of major bleeding complications in patients with ACS has been evaluated on the basis of results from the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategy) and the HORIZONS-AMI (Harmonizing Outcomes with Revascularization and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction) trials. This simple integer-based scoring system calculates individual risk scores by using six independent measurements of factors that have been identified to be associated with an increased risk of bleeding complications (gender, age, serum creatinine, white blood cell count, anemia, and presentation), combined with the type of anticoagulation therapy applied (heparin + inhibitors of GP IIb/IIIa versus bivalirudin monotherapy). Four categories of bleeding are then defined according to the total integer score: low (<10), moderate (10 to 14), high (15 to 19), and very high (>20) [12]. It is hoped that this simple scoring system for identifying patients at increased risk of bleeding can be used as a tool for individualization of the treatment strategy for each patient, similar to an easily applied scale for predicting the risk of bleeding versus thrombotic events which has begun to be used in general practice in patients with atrial fibrillation, leading to a recommendation of optimal therapy: HAS-BLED (Hypertension, Abnormal renal/liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history or predisposition, Labile International Normalized Ratio, Elderly, Drugs/alcohol concomitantly) score and CHA2DS2-VASc (Congestive heart failure, Hypertension, Age of at least 75 years, Diabetes mellitus, Stroke, Vascular disease, Age of 65 to 74 years, Sex category) score [13].

New antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy

Simultaneously with the development of the technique of coronary artery stenting, great advances have been made in relation to the arsenal of antithrombotic agents reducing ischemic events. A substantial proportion of patients (especially when the average age of patients undergoing PCI increases) is indicated concurrently for chronic anticoagulant and dual antiplatelet therapy. In all of these cases, the question about safety of these new agents and their combination arises.

In a group of thienopyridines, which typically are added to acetylsalicylate acid, clopidogrel is considered the gold standard and is widely used in general practice and as a reference drug in trials examining new antiplatelet drugs. Newly introduced P2Y12 antagonists, prasugrel and ticagrelor, promise to be more effective in reducing ischemic events in patients with ACS [14]. So far, the most important trials in which both of these drugs were separately compared with clopidogrel have been the TRITON-TIMI 38 trial (prasugrel versus clopidogrel) [15] and the PLATO trial (ticagrelol versus clopidogrel) [16]. Significant reductions were found in the total number of ischemic events in both trials comparing new antiplatelet drugs with clopidogrel [17, 18]. When focused on the safety of these drugs, TRITON showed a significantly increased number of bleeding complications for patients receiving prasugrel [15]. For ticagrelor in the PLATO trial, the total rate of major bleeding was similar in the two groups - PLATO major bleeding (11.6% versus 11.2%, P = 0.43), TIMI major bleeding (7.9% versus 7.7%, P = 0.56), and GUSTO (Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries) severe bleeding (2.9% versus 3.1%, P = 0.22) - as were procedure-related bleeding rate and incidence of fatal bleeding. At 30-day follow-up, there was an increased number of major non-coronary artery bypass graft-related bleeding in the ticagrelor group. There were no differences in major bleeding rates between ticagrelor and clopidogrel in a group of patients presumed to be at higher risk of bleeding (age of at least 75 years, weight of less than 60 kg, chronic kidney disease, aspirin dose of greater than 325 mg on the day of randomization, pre-randomization clopidogrel administration, or clopidogrel loading dose) [16]. Nevertheless, the benefit of both of these new drugs seems to exceed the consequential risk, and according to the new European Society of Cardiology guidelines, they should preferably be used in all patients with ACS (with clearly defined contraindications) [19, 20]. Of course, additional randomized trials clarifying an optimal dose and focusing mainly on the high-risk group of patients are needed, and head-to-head trials directly comparing both of these agents are necessary.

It is even more complicated when it comes to the problem of concomitant antiplatelet and oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy. The risk of bleeding for those who use triple therapy (OAC + aspirin + clopidogrel) is significantly higher [21, 22]. Therefore, it is very difficult to find an optimal balance between benefit and safety in any combinations of drugs affecting hemostasis. According to current guidelines, triple therapy is recommended for all patients indicated for anticoagulant therapy and concurrently receiving intracoronary stent, with different recommended lengths of this triple-therapy period (according to ACS presented and type of stent used), followed by a period of combined therapy of OAC and a single antiplatelet drug [13]. However, all of these recommendations come from a consensus of experts on the basis of a limited amount of evidence [23]. A new perspective on this topic may result from the recently published multicenter randomized WOEST (What is the Optimal antiplatElet and anticoagulant therapy in patients with oral anticoagulation and coronary StenTing) trial, which compared triple therapy (OAC + aspirin + clopidogrel) and dual therapy (OAC + clopidogrel). The results of this trial showed no difference in the number of ischemic events but did show a significantly reduced number of bleeding complications in a group of patients receiving dual therapy (OAC + clopidogrel) [24]. These results may lead to new recommendations in the near future.

In the era of new antiplatelet drugs, new anticoagulants have also been introduced in the last decade. Novel oral anticoagulants, direct thrombin inhibitors (for example, dabigatran), and oral direct factor Xa inhibitors (for example, rivaroxaban and apixaban) have been tested in several clinical trials (RELY, ROCKET-AF, AVERROES, and ARISTOTLE) [25–28], and data from these trials did not show worse results in the incidence of ischemic events compared with warfarin and in some cases showed even better safety [13]. These results are promising for further general use of new oral anticoagulants, but more data and experience are still necessary. Data for the use of new anticoagulants in triple therapy (thus in combination with dual antiplatelet therapy) are still insufficient.

Technique of cardiac catheterization

Since cardiac catheterization started to be performed in practice in the early 1980s, great developments have been made in terms of equipment and techniques. Initially, the size of the catheter sheath used was 12F, whereas sizes of 5F or even smaller are currently employed. The size of the catheter is known to be one of the risk factors for bleeding complications [29, 30]. At the beginning of the cardiac catheterization era, all procedures were performed via a femoral approach (puncture of the femoral artery). However, owing to the reduction in sheath size in the last decade and the minimization of other tools and instruments, a radial approach now can be used and slowly is becoming a routine technique practiced world-wide [31–33]. Several trials have compared the advantages and disadvantages of the two approaches, mostly in the form of retrospective trials. A radial approach is usually more comfortable for patients and appears to be safer and to reduce bleeding complications. A meta-analysis of 10 randomized controlled studies comparing the association of different types of complications with the use of these two puncture sites showed that there are no differences in the rates of death and severe bleeding complications and that there is a significantly lower incidence of local minor bleeding complications associated with radial access [34]. The lack of relevant independent data led to the need for a large randomized trial. Between 2006 and 2010, RIVAL (Radial versus Femoral access for coronary intervention), a randomized, parallel, multicenter trial, was carried out. The results showed that the rate of primary outcomes (the composite of death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and non-coronary artery bypass graft-related major bleeding at 30 days) did not differ between patients in the radial access group and those in the femoral access group (3.7% in the radial access group compared with 4.0% in the femoral access group), but there was an increased number of cases of access-site bleeding in the femoral access group (42 of 3,507 patients in the radial group compared with 106 of 3,514 in the femoral group exhibited a large hematoma; hazard ratio (HR) 0.40, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.57, P < 0.0001). When the primary outcomes associated with a subgroup of procedures performed at highly experienced radial access centers were compared, a significant benefit was detected for patients in the radial access group. In summary, this study showed that both femoral and radial access appear to be safe and effective, and an improvement was observed when the radial approach was used in association with bleeding complications related to the access site. Furthermore, it showed that specific technical skills and a more experienced team can lead to greater benefits from radial access [35].

Classification of bleeding complications

The first formal approach for classifying the severity of bleeding as a complication related to treatment with antithrombotic drugs in patients with ACS was developed during the Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) trial in 1988 [36]. The TIMI classification was based mainly on laboratory criteria. TIMI major bleeding was defined as bleeding associated with a decrease in hemoglobin of greater than 50.0 g/L (or 15% in hematocrit) or intracranial bleeding. TIMI minor bleeding was defined as any bleeding (for example, hematuria, hematemesis, melena, retroperitoneal bleeding, or hematoma) with a hemoglobin loss of greater than 30 g/L (or at least 10% in hematocrit). Criteria for major bleeding were extended to hemorrhagic death and cardiac tamponade [37]. This classification, sometimes modified, has been widely applied in many trials despite its limitations resulting from the preference of laboratory values over clinical outcomes. However, the second widespread classification scheme for bleeding complications established in the GUSTO trial in 1993 relies mainly on clinical data [38]. GUSTO investigators determined severe bleeding to be intracranial bleeding or any bleeding that compromises hemodynamic state and that requires treatment. Moderate bleeding is defined as any bleeding that does not lead to hemodynamic compromise but that requires transfusion. Mild bleeding does not need any specific treatment. The TIMI and GUSTO classifications have been subsequently applied in a wide range of trials, but owing to their limitations (the use of pure laboratory versus pure clinical data), they are applied mostly in combination with variable modifications or with only selected elements of these classifications. A slightly modified GUSTO scale was used in the ASSENT-3 [39], HERO-2 [40], and PARAGON-A [41] and PARAGON-B [42] trials, and combinations of the TIMI and GUSTO classifications were applied in the SYNERGY [43] and PURSUIT [44] trials. Many other studies (CURE, ACUITY, OASIS-5, REPLACE-2, OASIS-6, HORIZONS-AMI, CURRENT-OASIS-7, PLATO, and GRACE [16, 45–52]) established their own classifications for evaluating hemorrhagic complications (Table 1). Some of these classifications aim toward using an increased number of reported details, whereas others prefer simplicity (GRACE). They also show large differences on the basis of suspicious events and outcomes.

Table 1 Bleeding classifications used in acute coronary syndrome trials [20–23, 26–38]

According to the different definitions employed, it is very difficult for clinicians and experts to come to accurate conclusions regarding the outcomes from different trials and, thus, to evaluate the safety of new techniques and antitrombotic drugs. When data from two randomized studies were compared and analyzed to determine the association between TIMI and GUSTO bleeding and 30-day and 6-month death/myocardial infarction, a stepwise increase was observed in the adjusted hazard of 30-day death/myocardial infarction using GUSTO and TIMI classifications separately. However, in a model including both definitions, the risk of GUSTO bleeding persisted whereas TIMI bleeding did not [53]. In light of these findings, it is more than clear that one unified classification for bleeding complications is necessary in the future.

Efforts to standardize the classification of bleeding complications

In light of variability in the data and the difficulty of interpreting general outcomes from the available studies, there is a tendency toward standardizing the definition of bleeding. However, it is difficult to do so because of demographic differences and the varying outcomes expected. Classification evaluating in-hospital mortality in patients with ACS requiring rescue PCI would be focused more on severe and life-threatening complications. On the other hand, classification for subsequent follow-up should cover wider range of bleeding complications (including superficial bleeding as petechia and easy bruising). This classification must be practical, easy to implement, and meaningful for clinical outcomes and have appropriate sensitivity, specificity, reproducibility, and consistency across health-care systems [54]. One of the first attempts to create a new classification for bleeding events was introduced in 2007 and was termed the BloodScore classification, which is based on point scores for each type of bleeding complication [55]. As defined, this classification covers a wide spectrum of bleeding events (from nuisance bleeding to severe, life-threatening complications) and can be easily applied and compared in trials. On the other hand, it does not reflect any effect on the hemodynamic impact or need for treatment, and this may represent a limitation for general use.

In light of the need for a new general classification for bleeding complications, a group of experts convened in April 2008 and developed a new strategy for assessing the severity of bleeding associated with ACS by using existing data from previous trials. The Academic Bleeding Consensus (ABC) Multidisciplinary Working Group, a group of clinical researchers and representatives from the health-care and pharmaceutical industries, established a consensus statement that recommended evaluating specific data in each trial and divided the evaluated data into three categories (each assigned a different color): essential (red), recommended (orange), and optional (green) (Table 2). The collection and reporting data rely mainly on clinical and laboratory elements, the time and site of bleeding, the direct consequences of bleeding, and the outcomes after hemorrhage. Advantages of this method include the independent collection of all relevant data associated with bleeding complications, not influenced by the primary endpoint of each trial; the potential to compare clinical trials post hoc; and the fact that it can be used to construct a new standard bleeding definition [56]. To decrease the differences between prior definitions of bleeding, this complicated evaluation is most likely necessary, but its complexity and the associated inconvenience for users could be limitations to its wide application in clinical practice.

Table 2 Academic Bleeding Consensus standards for the collection and reporting of bleeding complications [56]

The attempt to develop a standardized classification for bleeding complications in patients undergoing invasive procedures continued. In 2011, the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC), a group of independent experts, summarized all of the available evidence and data from clinical trials and evaluated new standardized bleeding definitions for cardiovascular clinical trials. Five main types of bleeding were defined, scaled from 0 to 5, beginning with type 0, corresponding to no evidence of bleeding, and ending with type 5, indicating fatal bleeding (Table 3). Several categories include subgroups specifying each type of bleeding. Bleeding associated with surgical revascularization appears to be crucial to include but was not included in previous bleeding classifications but may have a great influence on outcomes in many clinical trials. This classification was constructed to capture bleeding events that are important and meaningful for patients and clinical outcomes but to remain simple, broadly applicable, and easy to use. These characteristics make this recent classification promising for use in routine clinical practice. The authors note that it is necessary to verify the accuracy and usefulness of this new classification in clinical trials and therefore appeal to all researchers to report bleeding events according to the BARC definition [57].

Table 3 Definition of bleeding used by the Bleeding Academic Research Consortium [57]

Bleeding and prognosis

Despite the variation in incidence across studies, a strong association with a worse short-term as well as long-term prognosis was found for patients exhibiting bleeding complications [3, 58–60]. In 2006, the data from a group of 34,146 ACS patients enrolled in the OASIS Registry, OASIS-2, and CURE studies were analyzed to examine the association between bleeding and death or ischemic events. Patients with bleeding complications presented a 5-fold higher incidence of death during the first 30 days and a 1.5-fold higher incidence of death between 30 days and 6 months after an invasive procedure. An association was found between the severity of bleeding and an increased risk of death [3]. Also, the type of bleeding, in the context of location (access and non-access bleeding), may significantly affect the prognosis. The data analysis from the REPLACE-2, ACUITY, and HORIZONS-AMI trials found increased total 1-year mortality for patients presenting bleeding complications, but the risk was significantly higher when manifested as non-access bleeding compared with access-site bleeding (HR 2.27, 95% CI 1.42 to 3.64, P < 0.0007) [61].

The reason for the worse outcomes in patients exhibiting bleeding was not completely explained. It is assumed that bleeding leads to hemodynamic compromise, decreasing tissue oxygenation (for example, because of anemia or hypotension) and consequently activating adaptive mechanisms, which may trigger a chain of other adverse complications [62] (Figure 1). Antiplatelet and anticoagulant drugs are often interrupted or at least reduced with an increased risk of subsequent ischemic events. Finally, blood transfusion administration is assumed to have protrombotic effects and therefore influence the higher mortality rate [63].

Figure 1
figure 1

Bleeding and prognosis of patients with acute coronary syndrome.

Management

The management of bleeding complications ideally should be focused mainly on preventive measures, especially in high-risk patients. For each patient, the therapy should be personally tailored according to the bleeding risk score. These recommendations demonstrate the importance of an individual approach to each of the many steps associated with the treatment of patients with ACS, particularly patients with stable forms of ischemic heart disease [64]. Firstly, the real benefit versus the risk from an invasive procedure should be considered thoroughly. For risk score assessment, the scoring method described in the 'Incidence and predictors of bleeding complications' section may be used [12]. In regard to the invasive procedure itself, a radial approach and a smaller sheath size are assumed to be associated with a lower risk of bleeding complication and therefore should be preferred, when available, for patients with a higher risk of bleeding [29]. The same decrease in the rate of bleeding complications may be achieved with the use of specific closure devices. There are several types of vascular closure devices. The most often used active closure devices (for example, Angio-Seal (St Jude Medical, Minnetonka, Minnesota) or Perclose A-T (Abbott Vascular, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Park, IL, USA)) were part of the several studies comparing standard manual compression with these devices [65]. These studies showed decrease in incidence of access-site bleeding when special vascular closure devices were used (similar to decrease achieved using radial access) [66, 67]. Independent randomized trials are necessary, but these devices should be thoroughly considered for patients exhibiting a higher risk of bleeding [68]. To avoid gastrointestinal bleeding, proton pump inhibitors should be used for patients with a history of gastrointestinal bleeding, especially when dual antiplatelet therapy is necessary, and rehydratation therapy needs to be emphasized for patients with renal insufficiency. The administration of a specific drug and its dosage for anticoagulant and antitrombotic therapy are other important criteria that require a highly individual perspective [69]. According to evidence-based medical data from large randomized trials (SYNERGY, OASIS-, ACUITY, and HORIZONS-AMI), the guidelines of the American College of Chest Physicians noted that there is a decrease in the risk of bleeding complications when using unfractionated heparin rather than low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction receiving fibrinolytic therapy, whereas in patients with non-ST-elevation ACS and unstable angina pectoris, fondaparinux appears to be safer than LMWH, and bivalirudin (a direct thrombin inhibitor) is associated with a lower bleeding risk than GPIIb/IIIa inhibitors in combination with heparin [70]. In the era of new antitrombotic drugs, data from large randomized trials and the guidelines arising from them should provide clues for treatment, and the optimal therapy should be considered according to individual risk stratification [19, 20, 71].

Once bleeding complications have occurred, the specific treatment is always determined on the basis of a combination of several factors: (a) the severity of bleeding, associated with hemodynamic compromise of the patient; (b) the possibility of applying specific, local treatment; and (c) the need for anticoagulant or antiplatelet therapy versus the risk of discontinuous treatment. Local minor bleeding usually does not require any specific treatment, and manual compression may be sufficient, without a need for a change in the established therapy. For more severe bleeding, the applied treatment will be individually determined while the patient is closely monitored. If the patient is hemodynamically unstable, antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy should preferably be interrupted until the bleeding is under control and its administration is safe again, despite the higher risk of ischemic events [62, 72]. In the context of blood transfusion, the administration should be considered carefully [73]. According to recent guidelines for ACS, blood transfusion is recommended only in case of compromised hemodynamical status or hematocrit of less than 25% or hemoglobin level of less than 7 g/dL [19].

Conclusions

As percutaneous diagnostic coronary angiography and coronary intervention have become widespread and more effective therapeutically and with the development of new antiplatelet drugs, it may be stated that we have almost reached the boundary regarding the reduction of ischemic events as complications of these methods. Now is the time to focus on and improve the safety of these procedures. The reduction of bleeding complications associated with invasive procedures in cardiology, which is of both short- and long-term prognostic value, should be the next step and should become a point of interest for all clinical physicians as well as for researchers.

Abbreviations

ACS:

acute coronary syndrome

ACUITY:

Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage Strategy

ARISTOTLE:

Apixaban for Reduction in Stroke and Other Thromboembolic Events in Atrial Fibrillation

ASSENT-3:

Assessment of the Safety and Efficacy of a New Thrombolytic-3

AVERROES:

Apixaban versus acetylsalicylic acid to prevent stroke in atrial fibrillation patients who have failed or are unsuitable for vitamin K antagonist treatment

BARC:

Bleeding Academic Research Consortium

CI:

confidence interval

CURE:

Clopidogrel in Unstable Angina to Prevent Recurrent Events

CURRENT OASIS-7:

Clopidogrel Optimal Loading Dose Usage to Reduce Recurrent Events/Optimal Antiplatelet Strategy for Interventions

GPI:

glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor

GRACE:

Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events

GUSTO:

Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Arteries

HERO-2:

Hirulog and Early Reperfusion or Occlusion-2

HORIZONS-AMI:

Harmonizing Outcomes with Revascularization and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction

HR:

hazard ratio

LMWH:

low-molecular-weight heparin

NOAC:

novel oral anticoagulant

OAC:

oral anticoagulant

OASIS:

Organization to Assess Strategies for Ischemic Syndrome

PARAGON:

Platelet IIb/IIIa Antagonism for the Reduction of Acute Coronary Syndrome Events in a Global Organization Network

PCI:

percutaneous coronary intervention

PLATO:

Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes

PURSUIT:

Platelet Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa in Unstable Angina: Receptor Suppression Using Integrilin Therapy

RELY:

Randomised Evaluation of Long term anticoagulant therapY

REPLACE:

Randomized Evaluation in percutaneous coronary intervention Linking Angiomax to Reduced Clinical Events II

RIVAL:

RadIal Vs femorAL access for coronary intervention

ROCKET-AF:

Rivaroxaban Once daily oral direct factor Xa inhibition Compared with vitamin K antagonism for prevention of stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation

SYNERGY:

Superior Yield of the New Strategy of Enoxaparin: Revascularization and Glycoprotein IIb/IIIa Inhibitors

TIMI:

Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction

TRITON:

TRial to Assess Improvement in Therapeutic Outcomes by Optimizing Platelet InhibitioN with Prasugrel.

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Acknowledgements

This work was supported by The Charles University Prague, Research Project PRVOUK P35 and Third Faculty of Medicine, Charles University Prague, Research Project UNCE204010.

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Doktorova, M., Motovska, Z. Clinical review: Bleeding - a notable complication of treatment in patients with acute coronary syndromes: incidence, predictors, classification, impact on prognosis, and management. Crit Care 17, 239 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1186/cc12764

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