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Table 2 Comparison of model’s accuracy for mortality prediction

From: A deep learning model for real-time mortality prediction in critically ill children

 

Development cohort

Validation cohort

Lead time window

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

Accuracy

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

Accuracy

PROMPT

 6 h

0.846

0.963

0.663

0.986

0.953

0.800

0.850

0.288

0.982

0.846

 12 h

0.800

0.946

0.555

0.983

0.935

0.800

0.890

0.336

0.985

0.884

 24 h

0.800

0.931

0.454

0.985

0.922

0.849

0.887

0.334

0.989

0.884

 48 h

0.800

0.834

0.224

0.986

0.832

0.800

0.752

0.177

0.983

0.755

 60 h

0.800

0.882

0.268

0.988

0.878

0.800

0.772

0.190

0.983

0.773

GBDT

 6 h

0.800

0.933

0.509

0.982

0.922

0.800

0.805

0.238

0.981

0.805

 12 h

0.801

0.898

0.398

0.982

0.891

0.800

0.854

0.276

0.984

0.850

 24 h

0.800

0.854

0.283

0.983

0.850

0.800

0.818

0.227

0.984

0.817

 48 h

0.800

0.769

0.172

0.985

0.771

0.800

0.629

0.126

0.979

0.640

 60 h

0.800

0.693

0.123

0.985

0.698

0.800

0.551

0.107

0.976

0.567

LSTM

 6 h

0.800

0.951

0.588

0.982

0.939

0.800

0.770

0.209

0.981

0.772

 12 h

0.800

0.888

0.374

0.981

0.881

0.800

0.782

0.204

0.982

0.783

 24 h

0.800

0.828

0.251

0.983

0.826

0.800

0.740

0.170

0.982

0.743

 48 h

0.800

0.729

0.150

0.984

0.733

0.800

0.537

0.104

0.976

0.554

 60 h

0.800

0.626

0.103

0.983

0.635

0.800

0.505

0.098

0.974

0.524

PIM 3

 Total

0.800

0.617

0.392

0.909

0.661

0.800

0.799

0.298

0.974

0.799

 Subset 1*

0.806

0.643

0.218

0.964

0.661

0.818

0.754

0.182

0.984

0.758

 Subset 2**

0.800

0.643

0.200

0.966

0.659

0.818

0.754

0.182

0.984

0.758

  1. PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, PROMPT pediatric risk of mortality prediction tool, GBDT Gradient Boosting Decision Trees, LSTM Long Short-Term Memory, PIM 3 Pediatric Index of Mortality 3
  2. *Subset of the cohort with data of at least 48 h
  3. **Subset of the cohort with data of at least 60 h