Table 7 Model performance for all versions of MPM

Nouira et al. (1998) [66]

MPM (24 hours)

0.88

C statistic χ² = 29.59 (p < 0.001)

NR

NR

NR

H statistic χ² = 19.9 (p < 0.05)

Nouira et al. (1998) [66]

MPM (initial)

0.85

C statistic χ² = 36.66 (p < 0.001)

NR

NR

NR

H statistic χ² = 38 (p < 0.05)

Sekulic et al. (2015) [48]

MPM II (7 days)

1.00

χ² = 0.00 (p =1.000)

100%

Presented as figure

NR

Juneja et al. (2012) [1]

MPM II (initial)

0.928 (0.904–0.952)

χ² = 8.627 (p = 0.375)

95.1% (DC > 27)

68.2% (DC > 27)

NR

Sutheechet (2009) [79]

MPM II (24 hours)

0.91 (0.88–0.93)

C statistic χ² = 14.45 (p = 0.07)

Individual values for each risk level

Individual values for each risk level

Individual values for each risk level

Soares et al. (2004) [40]

MPM II (24 hours)

0.909 (0.891–0.926)

H statistic χ² = 114.713 (p < 0.001)

NR

NR

NR

Soares et al. (2004) [40]

MPM II (initial)

0.854 (0.83–0.878)

H statistic χ² = 373.317 (p < 0.001)

NR

NR

NR

Sekulic et al. (2015) [48]

MPM II (48 hours)

0.836

χ² = 11.37 (p = 0.181)

Presented as figure

Presented as figure

NR

Sekulic et al.(2015) [48]

MPM II (72 hours)

0.817

χ² = 6.04 (p = 0.534)

Presented as figure

Presented as figure

NR

Hamza et al. (2009) [76]

MPM II (initial)

0.81 (0.738–0.882)

H statistic χ² = 8.825 (p = 0.357)

NR

NR

NR

Aggarwal et al. (2006) [7]

MPM II (24 hours)

0.733

C statistics χ² = 73.1 (p < 0.001)

H statistics χ² = 69.7 (p < 0.001)

48.1% (39.9–56.2) (DC = 25%), 24.0% (17.5–31.6) (DC = 50%), 14.35 (9.2–20.8) (DC = 75%)

0.836 (0.789–0.876) (DC = 25%), 0.956 (0.927–0.977) (DC = 50%),

0.990 (0.971–0.998) (DC = 75%)

0.715 (0.671–0.756) (DC = 25%), 0.712 (0.668–0.754) (DC = 50%), 0.701 (0.657–0.743) (DC = 75%)

Aggarwal et al. (2006) [7]

MPM II (initial)

0.665

C statistics χ² = 599.2 (p < 0.001)

H statistics χ² = 456.4 (p < 0.001)

27.9% (0.210–0.355) (DC = 25%),

11.4% (0.069–0.174) (DC = 50%),

2.5% (0.007–0.064) (DC = 75%)

0.920 (0.884–0.948) (DC = 25%),

0.980 (0.957–0.993) (DC = 50%),

0.993 (0.976–0.999) (DC = 75%)

0.699 (0.655–0.741) (DC = 25%),

0.682 (0.637–0.724) (DC = 50%),

0.660 (0.615–0.703) (DC = 75%)

Sekulic et al. (2015) [48]

MPM II (initial)

0.654

χ² = 6.90 (p = 0.548)

85.20%

Presented as figure

NR

Sekulic et al. (2015) [48]

MPM II (24 hours)

Presented as figure

χ² = 16.23 (p = 0.039)

Presented as figure

Presented as figure

NR

Juneja et al. (2012) [1]

MPM III (initial)

0.947 (0.927–0.967)

χ² = 13.835 (p = 0.086)

94.2% (DC >19)

80.2% (DC > 19)

NR

Nassar et al. (2012) [42]

MPM III (initial)

0.84 (0.83–0.849)

C statistic χ² = 134.2 (p < 0.01)

NR

NR

NR

Riviello et al. (2016) [43]

MPM III (initial)

0.72

χ² = 17.66 (0.024)

NR

NR

NR

Soares et al. (2010) [41]

MPM III (24 hours)

0.71 (0.67–0.75)

C statistic χ² = 14.242 (p = 0.076)

NR

NR

NR