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Table 7 Model performance for all versions of MPM

From: Performance of critical care prognostic scoring systems in low and middle-income countries: a systematic review

Study Scoring system Discrimination Calibration Sensitivity Specificity Accuracy
Nouira et al. (1998) [66] MPM (24 hours) 0.88 C statistic χ2 = 29.59 (p < 0.001) NR NR NR
H statistic χ2 = 19.9 (p < 0.05)
Nouira et al. (1998) [66] MPM (initial) 0.85 C statistic χ2 = 36.66 (p < 0.001) NR NR NR
H statistic χ2 = 38 (p < 0.05)
Sekulic et al. (2015) [48] MPM II (7 days) 1.00 χ2 = 0.00 (p =1.000) 100% Presented as figure NR
Juneja et al. (2012) [1] MPM II (initial) 0.928 (0.904–0.952) χ2 = 8.627 (p = 0.375) 95.1% (DC > 27) 68.2% (DC > 27) NR
Sutheechet (2009) [79] MPM II (24 hours) 0.91 (0.88–0.93) C statistic χ2 = 14.45 (p = 0.07) Individual values for each risk level Individual values for each risk level Individual values for each risk level
Soares et al. (2004) [40] MPM II (24 hours) 0.909 (0.891–0.926) H statistic χ2 = 114.713 (p < 0.001) NR NR NR
Soares et al. (2004) [40] MPM II (initial) 0.854 (0.83–0.878) H statistic χ2 = 373.317 (p < 0.001) NR NR NR
Sekulic et al. (2015) [48] MPM II (48 hours) 0.836 χ2 = 11.37 (p = 0.181) Presented as figure Presented as figure NR
Sekulic et al.(2015) [48] MPM II (72 hours) 0.817 χ2 = 6.04 (p = 0.534) Presented as figure Presented as figure NR
Hamza et al. (2009) [76] MPM II (initial) 0.81 (0.738–0.882) H statistic χ2 = 8.825 (p = 0.357) NR NR NR
Aggarwal et al. (2006) [7] MPM II (24 hours) 0.733 C statistics χ2 = 73.1 (p < 0.001)
H statistics χ2 = 69.7 (p < 0.001)
48.1% (39.9–56.2) (DC = 25%), 24.0% (17.5–31.6) (DC = 50%), 14.35 (9.2–20.8) (DC = 75%) 0.836 (0.789–0.876) (DC = 25%), 0.956 (0.927–0.977) (DC = 50%),
0.990 (0.971–0.998) (DC = 75%)
0.715 (0.671–0.756) (DC = 25%), 0.712 (0.668–0.754) (DC = 50%), 0.701 (0.657–0.743) (DC = 75%)
Aggarwal et al. (2006) [7] MPM II (initial) 0.665 C statistics χ2 = 599.2 (p < 0.001)
H statistics χ2 = 456.4 (p < 0.001)
27.9% (0.210–0.355) (DC = 25%),
11.4% (0.069–0.174) (DC = 50%),
2.5% (0.007–0.064) (DC = 75%)
0.920 (0.884–0.948) (DC = 25%),
0.980 (0.957–0.993) (DC = 50%),
0.993 (0.976–0.999) (DC = 75%)
0.699 (0.655–0.741) (DC = 25%),
0.682 (0.637–0.724) (DC = 50%),
0.660 (0.615–0.703) (DC = 75%)
Sekulic et al. (2015) [48] MPM II (initial) 0.654 χ2 = 6.90 (p = 0.548) 85.20% Presented as figure NR
Sekulic et al. (2015) [48] MPM II (24 hours) Presented as figure χ2 = 16.23 (p = 0.039) Presented as figure Presented as figure NR
Juneja et al. (2012) [1] MPM III (initial) 0.947 (0.927–0.967) χ2 = 13.835 (p = 0.086) 94.2% (DC >19) 80.2% (DC > 19) NR
Nassar et al. (2012) [42] MPM III (initial) 0.84 (0.83–0.849) C statistic χ2 = 134.2 (p < 0.01) NR NR NR
Riviello et al. (2016) [43] MPM III (initial) 0.72 χ2 = 17.66 (0.024) NR NR NR
Soares et al. (2010) [41] MPM III (24 hours) 0.71 (0.67–0.75) C statistic χ2 = 14.242 (p = 0.076) NR NR NR
  1. MPM Mortality Probability Models, CI confidence interval, NR not reported, DC decision criteria