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Fig. 1 | Critical Care

Fig. 1

From: Why the C-statistic is not informative to evaluate early warning scores and what metrics to use

Fig. 1

PPV as a function of prevalence for two sample scores (EWS): score A (blue), with a sensitivity of 99 % and a specificity of 99 %; and score B (red), with a sensitivity of 99 % and a specificity of 96 %. a Full range of possible PPV and prevalence, from 0 to 1. b Region of prevalence <0.1, adding a line to show an example prevalence of 0.02 (corresponding to an estimate of the rate of physiological deterioration of inpatients). A decrease of only 3 % in specificity can mean a 50 % decrease in PPV: from 0.33 to 0.66

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