Figure 1

Decision tree. The square node at the left of the diagram represents the decision to treat with micafungin or fluconazole empirically or to adopt the 'await culture and sensitivity (C&S) results' watchful waiting strategy prior to instituting treatment. The circular chance nodes represent the probability of the blood culture specimen returning Candida albicans (CAC) vs. C. glabrata (CG) or C. krusei (CK). The second square decision node represents the decision made about antifungal therapy in response to the C&S data, and the final circular event node represents the outcome of death vs. survival. The right most vertical segments are terminal nodes.