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Table 7 Performance for temporal models using pattern discovery.

From: Evaluation of SOFA-based models for predicting mortality in the ICU: A systematic review

  

Brier score

SAPS II + SOFA

Given by

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

Day 4

Day 5

Day 6

Day 7

Recalibrated SAPS II

Toma et al (2007) [8]

0.059

0.132

0.17

0.18

0.182

  

Recalibrated SAPS II

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.175

0.168

0.198

0.199

0.215

0.23

Temporal SOFA model

Toma et al (2007) [8]

0.058

0.128

0.161

0.171

0.166

  

Temporal SOFA model

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.168

0.17

0.195

0.183

0.206

0.211

Temporal wSOFA model

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.166

0.175

0.199

0.19

0.21

0.224

Temporal IOF model

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.161

0.166

0.187

0.175

0.195

0.216

  

AUC

SAPS II + SOFA

Given by

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

Day 4

Day 5

Day 6

Day 7

Recalibrated SAPS II

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.761

0.746

0.692

0.66

0.643

0.645

Temporal SOFA model

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.786

0.780

0.713

0.737

0.690

0.722

Temporal wSOFA model

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.794

0.771

0.699

0.709

0.672

0.664

Temporal IOF model

Toma et al (2008) [9]

 

0.794

0.785

0.727

0.740

0.738

0.715

  1. AUC = Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve, IOF = Individual Organ Failure, SAPS = Simplified Acute Physiology Score, SOFA = Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, wSOFA = weighted SOFA score.