Skip to main content

Table 7 Performance for temporal models using pattern discovery.

From: Evaluation of SOFA-based models for predicting mortality in the ICU: A systematic review

   Brier score
SAPS II + SOFA Given by Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7
Recalibrated SAPS II Toma et al (2007) [8] 0.059 0.132 0.17 0.18 0.182   
Recalibrated SAPS II Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.175 0.168 0.198 0.199 0.215 0.23
Temporal SOFA model Toma et al (2007) [8] 0.058 0.128 0.161 0.171 0.166   
Temporal SOFA model Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.168 0.17 0.195 0.183 0.206 0.211
Temporal wSOFA model Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.166 0.175 0.199 0.19 0.21 0.224
Temporal IOF model Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.161 0.166 0.187 0.175 0.195 0.216
   AUC
SAPS II + SOFA Given by Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Day 4 Day 5 Day 6 Day 7
Recalibrated SAPS II Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.761 0.746 0.692 0.66 0.643 0.645
Temporal SOFA model Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.786 0.780 0.713 0.737 0.690 0.722
Temporal wSOFA model Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.794 0.771 0.699 0.709 0.672 0.664
Temporal IOF model Toma et al (2008) [9]   0.794 0.785 0.727 0.740 0.738 0.715
  1. AUC = Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve, IOF = Individual Organ Failure, SAPS = Simplified Acute Physiology Score, SOFA = Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, wSOFA = weighted SOFA score.