Model | APACHE II | APACHE III | SAPS II | MPM II | ICNARC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC (95 percent CI) | 0.74 (0.72, 0.75) | 0.76 (0.75, 0.78) | 0.81 (0.80, 0.83) | 0.81 (0.80, 0.82) | 0.84 (0.83, 0.85) |
Hosmer-Lemeshow C* | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   χ2(10) | 215 | 2,478 | 61.4 | 38.2 | 24.9 |
   p value | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.006 |
Cox's calibration regression | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
   Intercept (95 percent CI) | -0.26 (-0.33, -0.19) | 0.50 (0.40, 0.60) | 0.02 (-0.05, 0.10) | 0.20 (0.12, 0.28) | 0.17 (0.09, 0.26) |
   Slope (95 percent CI) | 0.66 (0.62, 0.71) | 0.61 (0.57, 0.65) | 0.89 (0.84, 0.95) | 1.04 (0.97, 1.10) | 1.08 (1.02, 1.14) |
   χ2(2) | 176 | 1,256 | 20.3 | 28.0 | 17.8 |
   p value | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Brier's score | 0.187 | 0.194 | 0.158 | 0.163 | 0.147 |