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Table 3 Performance of multivariable models for predicting severe sepsis, septic shock and 28-day mortality in septic patients

From: Diagnostic value and prognostic evaluation of Presepsin for sepsis in an emergency department

 

Variable

Cutoff

Sensitivity (%)

Specificity (%)

PPV (%)

NPV (%)

Accuracy (%)

LR+

LR–

Severe sepsis

Presepsin

449 pg/ml

82.4

72.4

71.3

83.2

77.0

2.99

0.24

 

Procalcitonin

1.435 ng/ml

52.0

79.8

69.6

65.1

66.7

2.57

0.60

 

MEDS score

13.5 score

63.0

86.3

79.2

73.8

75.8

4.60

0.42

 

APACHE II score

16.5 score

69.8

68.5

64.8

73.3

69.1

2.22

0.44

Septic shock

Presepsin

550 pg/ml

85.7

63.6

28.5

96.3

66.8

2.35

0.22

 

Procalcitonin

4.415 ng/ml

54.1

81.1

34.2

90.7

77.0

2.86

0.57

 

MEDS score

16.5 score

75.5

90.0

56.1

95.6

87.9

7.55

0.27

 

APACHE II score

20.5 score

70.4

78.4

35.4

94.0

77.2

3.26

0.38

28-day mortality

Presepsin

556 pg/ml

62.2

66.8

48.3

78.0

65.3

1.87

0.57

 

Procalcitonin

1.125 ng/ml

54.2

70.0

47.7

75.1

64.7

1.81

0.65

 

MEDS score

13.5 score

59.1

75.4

54.3

78.9

70.0

2.40

0.54

 

APACHE II score

16.5 score

71.1

62.2

48.2

81.3

65.1

1.88

0.46

  1. APACHE, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; LR+, positive likelihood ratio, LR–, negative likelihood ratio; MEDS, Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.