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Table 3 The discrimination (AUC) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit) power of the examined scoring systems in different intervals of time

From: Assessment of disease-severity scoring systems for patients with sepsis in general internal medicine departments

  

1-day mortality

5-day mortality

10-day mortality

30-day mortality

60-day mortality

28-day in-hospital mortality

Overall in-hospital mortality

MEDS

AUC (95% CI)

0.79 (0.73-0.85)

0.77 (0.73-0.81)

0.79 (0.76-0.83)

0.75 (0.71-0.78)

0.74

(0.71-0.77)

0.75 (0.71-0.78)

0.73 (0.70-0.77)

 

HL - P value

0.19

0.0001

0.06

0.02

0.02

0.02

0.29

MEWS

AUC (95% CI)

0.83 (0.77-0.88)

0.73 (0.68-0.78)

0.72 (0.68-0.77)

0.67 (0.63-0.71)

0.65 (0.62-0.69)

0.70 (0.66-0.74)

0.69 (0.65-0.73)

 

HL - P value

0.57

0.31

0.28

0.86

0.73

0.43

0.32

REMS

AUC (95% CI)

0.87 (0.83-0.92)

0.80 (0.76-0.84)

0.80 (0.77-0.84)

0.76 (0.72-0.79)

0.74 (0.71-0.77)

0.79 (0.75-0.81)

0.77 (0.73-0.80)

 

HL - P value

0.85

0.29

0.44

0.21

0.22

0.26

0.75

SCS

AUC (95% CI)

0.85 (0.80-0.90)

0.79 (0.76-0.83)

0.80 (0.77-0.84)

0.77 (0.74-0.81)

0.76 (0.73-0.79)

0.79 (0.75-0.82)

0.77 (0.74-0.80)

 

HL - P value

0.49

0.14

0.68

0.54

0.79

0.16

0.71

  1. AUC, area under the curve; CI, confidence interval; HL, Hosmer-Lemeshow; MEDS, mortality in emergency medicine sepsis score; MEWS, modified early warning score; REMS, rapid emergency medicine score; SCS, simple clinical score.