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Table 4 Posterior probability (%) of treatment effect by specified threshold criteria for unfavourable neurological outcome censored at 90–180 days following cardiac arrest (top) or between hospital discharge to 180 days (middle)

From: Target temperature management following cardiac arrest: a systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis

No benefit RR ≥ 1

Any benefit RR < 1

ARR > 2%

ARR > 4%

ARR > 6%

ARR 7.5%

ARR > 10%

Unfavourable neurological outcome at 90–180 days [17, 36,37,38,39,40]

 17

83

67

47

28

17

6

Unfavourable neurological outcome, hospital discharge to 90–180 days [17, 36,37,38,39,40,41]

 12

88

78

63

45

32

14

Unfavourable neurological outcome, 90–180 days explicit temperature definition of normothermia and using fever avoidance in control group [17, 39, 40]

 37

63

50

36

25

17

9

  1. The bottom row only includes studies with explicit temperature definition of normothermia and using fever avoidance in the control group (bottom)
  2. RR risk ratio, ARR absolute risk reduction