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Table 2 Model performances of the best model based on electroencephalography features, mean arterial pressure and age, the best model including IMPACT features at admission and the IMPACT predictor independently, predicting poor outcome both as Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) 1–2 and GOSE 1–4. For both the internal validation within the training set and the validation set, the number of patients (N), area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values with 50% confidence interval, and sensitivity and specificity at an optimal threshold are shown

From: Predicting outcome in patients with moderate to severe traumatic brain injury using electroencephalography

Performance measures for the prediction model

Best model, 72 + 96 h

Best model, 72 + 96 h + IMPACT

IMPACT predictor

Poor outcome

GOSE 1–2

GOSE 1–4

GOSE 1–2

GOSE 1–4

GOSE 1–2

GOSE 1–4

Training set

 N

30

25

29

25

38

30

 AUC (50% CI)

0.88 (0.83–0.91)

0.66 (0.57–0.74)

0.94 (0.89–0.96)

0.61 (0.51–0.68)

0.74 (0.66–0.79)

0.67 (0.61–0.73)

 Threshold

0.541

0.740

0.680

0.591

0.650

0.530

 Sensitivity

0.92 (0.81–0.98)

0.71 (0.59–0.80)

0.75 (0.61–0.85)

0.76 (0.66–0.85)

0.65 (0.54–0.75)

0.63 (0.53–0.72)

 Specificity

0.77 (0.66–0.85)

0.75 (0.57–0.88)

1.00 (0.92–1.00)

0.50 (0.33–0.67)

0.81 (0.72–0.88)

0.82 (0.67–0.91)

Validation set

 N

14

14

14

14

19

19

 AUC (50% CI)

0.75 (0.60–0.86)

0.73 (0.62–0.82)

0.81 (0.69–0.88)

0.76 (0.65–0.89)

0.84 (0.76–0.89)

0.87 (0.78–0.92)

 Threshold

0.623

0.805

0.378

0.668

0.550

0.349

 Sensitivity

0.83 (0.61–0.95)

0.78 (0.61–0.89)

1.00 (0.79–1.00)

0.89 (0.73–0.97)

0.88 (0.70–0.96)

1.00 (0.88–1.00)

 Specificity

0.88 (0.70–0.96)

0.80 (0.55–0.94)

0.75 (0.57–0.88)

0.80 (0.55–0.94)

0.73 (0.58–0.84)

0.75 (0.57–0.88)

  1. IMPACT International Mission for Prognosis And Clinical Trial Design, GOSE Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale, AUC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, CI confidence interval
  2. Performences of the best model referred to throughout the manuscript is shown in italic