Performance measures for the prediction model | Best model, 72 + 96 h | Best model, 72 + 96 h + IMPACT | IMPACT predictor | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poor outcome | GOSE 1–2 | GOSE 1–4 | GOSE 1–2 | GOSE 1–4 | GOSE 1–2 | GOSE 1–4 |
Training set | ||||||
 N | 30 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 38 | 30 |
 AUC (50% CI) | 0.88 (0.83–0.91) | 0.66 (0.57–0.74) | 0.94 (0.89–0.96) | 0.61 (0.51–0.68) | 0.74 (0.66–0.79) | 0.67 (0.61–0.73) |
 Threshold | 0.541 | 0.740 | 0.680 | 0.591 | 0.650 | 0.530 |
 Sensitivity | 0.92 (0.81–0.98) | 0.71 (0.59–0.80) | 0.75 (0.61–0.85) | 0.76 (0.66–0.85) | 0.65 (0.54–0.75) | 0.63 (0.53–0.72) |
 Specificity | 0.77 (0.66–0.85) | 0.75 (0.57–0.88) | 1.00 (0.92–1.00) | 0.50 (0.33–0.67) | 0.81 (0.72–0.88) | 0.82 (0.67–0.91) |
Validation set | ||||||
 N | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
 AUC (50% CI) | 0.75 (0.60–0.86) | 0.73 (0.62–0.82) | 0.81 (0.69–0.88) | 0.76 (0.65–0.89) | 0.84 (0.76–0.89) | 0.87 (0.78–0.92) |
 Threshold | 0.623 | 0.805 | 0.378 | 0.668 | 0.550 | 0.349 |
 Sensitivity | 0.83 (0.61–0.95) | 0.78 (0.61–0.89) | 1.00 (0.79–1.00) | 0.89 (0.73–0.97) | 0.88 (0.70–0.96) | 1.00 (0.88–1.00) |
 Specificity | 0.88 (0.70–0.96) | 0.80 (0.55–0.94) | 0.75 (0.57–0.88) | 0.80 (0.55–0.94) | 0.73 (0.58–0.84) | 0.75 (0.57–0.88) |