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Table 1 Model inputs

From: Cost-effectiveness of micafungin as an alternative to fluconazole empiric treatment of suspected ICU-acquired candidemia among patients with sepsis: a model simulation

Parameter

Point estimate

Range

Source

Candidemia risk and mortality

   

   Risk of candidemia

0.140

0.048 to 0.283

See Table S1 in Additional data file 1

   Risk of CK/CG among candidemia

0.148

0.132 to 0.361

See Table S2 in Additional data file 1

   Candidemia attributable mortality

0.4

0.2 to 0.8

Golan and colleagues [22]

   Mortality reduction with appropriate empiric therapy

0.48

0.35 to 0.65

Morrell and colleagues [12] (inverse)

Evaluation and treatment

   

   Days of empiric treatment until availability of C&S results

3

2 to 4

Assumption

   Total duration of appropriate treatment (days)

10

7 to 14

Guideline recommendations of 14 days reduced to 10 days to account for mortalities

   Days of antibiotic treatment if switched from MIC to FLU in response to C&S

7

4 to 10

Total duration of appropriate treatment – Days of empiric treatment until availability of C&S results

   Days of antibiotic treatment if switched from FLU to MIC in response to C&S

10

7 to 14

Total duration of appropriate treatment

Cost of antibiotics

   

   MIC ($/100 mg daily IV)

$100

$80 to 120

WHC Pharmacy

   FLU ($/400 mg daily IV)

$12

$10 to 14

WHC Pharmacy

   FLU ($/400 mg single loading dose on day 1)

$12

$10 to 14

WHC Pharmacy

Life expectancy, QALY adjustment and lifetime costs

   

   Median age (years)

64

48 to 80

Median from Table S1 in Additional data file 1; range is +/- 25% median

   Life expectancy (years)

17.4

13.0 to 21.4

Actuarial tables from the US Social Security Administration [24]; for men; range is +/-25%

   Relative risk of death

0.51

0.49 to 0.59

Quartin and colleagues [25]

   QALY adjustment

0.64

0.44 to 0.80

Fowler and colleagues [26], and Davies and colleagues [27]

   Age-specific annual healthcare costs/survivor in 2001 $US*

$16,446

$12,335 to $20,558

Shorr and colleagues [29]

   Annual discount rate

3%

0 to 6%

Weinstein and colleagues [19]

  1. *Inflating to 2008 $US using the medical component of the consumer price index resulted in $22,080, 95% confidence interval $16,588 to $27,601.
  2. CG = Candida glabrata; CK = Candida krusei; C&S = culture and sensitivity; FLU = fluconazole; iv = intravenous; MIC = micafungin; QALY = quality-adjusted life year.
  3. WHC = Washington Hospital Center, Washington, DC, USA