Table 4 SMART: prediction of shock and organ failure and survival in severe sepsis from baseline plus serial data

From: Prospectively validated predictions of shock and organ failure in individual septic surgical patients: the Systemic Mediator Associated Response Test

	Day
Independent variable	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	14	21	28
Chest radiography score^*	-	0.847	0.902	0.807	0.859	0.629	0.709	0.467	0.794	1.000
Mechanical ventilation	-	-	-	-	0.857	1.000	0.905	0.697	0.827	0.913
ARDS	-	0.782	0.586	0.583	0.808	0.884	0.759	0.861	1.000	4.000
DIC	-	0.857	0.923	0.919	0.620	0.914	0.466	-	0.450	-
Hepatobiliary failure	-	0.778	0.679	0.940	0.888	0.890	0.843	0.856	0.947	0.938
Renal insufficiency	-	0.858	0.805	0.983	0.892	0.699	0.857	0.921	0.865	0.646
Shock	-	0.471	0.193	0.817	0.452	0.532	0.474	0.500	0.352	-
Survival Status	-	0.740	0.625	0.586	0.620	0.620	0.541	0.695	0.919	0.874
GCS score < 11	-	0.667	0.760	0.576	0.617	0.604	0.708	0.500	0.873	-

Values are AUC ROC determinations. ^*Chest radiography score = 0-4 quadrants pulmonary edema. Organ failure and shock definitions were from Fisher et al [18]. -, training cohort model failure; GCS, Glascow Coma Scale.

Back to article page

ISSN: 1364-8535

Contact us

Submission enquiries: journalsubmissions@springernature.com