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Table 5 Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test values: 4 hours

From: Can generic paediatric mortality scores calculated 4 hours after admission be used as inclusion criteria for clinical trials?

Score

Mortality probability classes (%)

Expected deaths

Observed deaths

Observed survivors

Expected survivors

χ2 goodness-of-fit test values

SMR (95% CI)

PIM 4 hours

<1

0.9

1

140

140.1

0.0

 
 

1 to <5

7.9

13

368

373.1

3.4

 
 

5 to <15

13.1

14

144

144.9

0.1

 
 

15 to <30

14.4

18

50

53.6

1.1

 
 

≥30

32.2

34

20

21.8

0.2

 

Total

 

68.5

80

722

733.5

4.8

1.17 (0.93–1.45)

PRISM 4 hours

<1

1.9

8

299

305.1

19.7

 
 

1 to <5

7.7

20

321

333.3

20.1

 
 

5 to <15

6.6

12

68

73.4

4.8

 
 

15 to <30

6.5

10

21

24.5

2.4

 
 

≥30

28.3

30

13

14.7

0.3

 

Totals

 

51.0

80

722

751.0

47.3

1.57 (1.24–1.95)*

PRISM III 4 hours

<1

1.9

6

455

459.1

8.9

 
 

1 to <5

4.3

16

167

178.7

32.6

 
 

5 to <15

6.3

12

60

65.7

5.7

 
 

15 to <30

7.0

8

25

26.0

0.2

 
 

≥30

37.2

38

15

15.8

0.1

 

Totals

 

56.7

80

722

745.3

47.2

1.41 (1.12–1.76)*

  1. *Significantly greater than 1 (P < 0.0001 for PRISM at 4 hours and P = 0.0025 for PRISM III at 4 hours) [13]. CI, confidence interval; PIM, Paediatric Index of Mortality [4]; PRISM, Paediatric RISk of Mortality [1,2]; SMR, standardized mortality ratio.