| |
Died
|
Survived
| |
|---|
|
System
|
PD
|
PS
|
PD
|
PS
|
Sensitivity
|
Specificity
|
PPV
|
NPV
|
OCCR
|
|---|
|
Cutoff 10%
| | | | | | | | | |
|
MPM II0
|
286
|
24
|
334
|
324
|
92 (87–95)
|
49 (45–53)
|
46 (42–50)
|
93 (90–96)
|
63 (60–66)
|
|
MPM II24
|
201
|
14
|
270
|
196
|
93 (89–96)
|
42 (38–47)
|
43 (38–47)
|
93 (89–96)
|
58 (55–62)
|
|
APACHE II
|
206
|
9
|
278
|
188
|
96 (92–98)
|
40 (36–45)
|
43 (38–47)
|
95 (92–98)
|
58 (54–62)
|
|
SAPS II
|
189
|
26
|
234
|
232
|
88 (83–92)
|
50 (45–54)
|
45 (40–50)
|
90 (86–93)
|
62 (58–65)
|
|
Cutoff 30%
| | | | | | | | | |
|
MPM II0
|
235
|
75
|
143
|
515
|
76 (71–80)
|
78 (75–81)
|
62 (57–67)
|
87 (84–89)
|
77 (75–80)
|
|
MPM II24
|
169
|
46
|
134
|
332
|
79 (73–84)
|
71 (67–75)
|
56 (50–61)
|
88 (84–91)
|
74 (70–77)
|
|
APACHE II
|
161
|
54
|
107
|
359
|
75 (69–81)
|
77 (73–81)
|
60 (54–66)
|
87 (83–90)
|
76 (73–80)
|
|
SAPS II
|
140
|
75
|
99
|
367
|
65 (58–71)
|
79 (74–82)
|
59 (52–65)
|
83 (79–86)
|
74 (71–78)
|
|
Cutoff 50%
| | | | | | | | | |
|
MPM II0
|
189
|
121
|
58
|
600
|
61 (55–66)
|
91 (89–93)
|
77 (71–82)
|
83 (80–86)
|
82 (79–84)
|
|
MPM II24
|
142
|
73
|
61
|
405
|
66 (59–72)
|
87 (84–90)
|
70 (63–76)
|
85 (81–87)
|
80 (77–83)
|
|
APACHE II
|
110
|
105
|
53
|
413
|
51 (44–58)
|
89 (85–91)
|
67 (60–75)
|
80 (76–83)
|
77 (73–80)
|
|
SAPS II
|
109
|
106
|
52
|
414
|
51 (44–58)
|
89 (86–92)
|
68 (60–75)
|
80 (76–83)
|
77 (73–80)
|
- Figures in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals. PD, predicted to die; PS, predicted to survive; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; OCCR, overall correct classification rate.
