Skip to main content

Table 4 Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests

From: Assessment of performance of four mortality prediction systems in a Saudi Arabian intensive care unit

MPM II0 MPM II24
Decile N PD AD PS AS Decile N PD AD PS AS
1 96 1.46 5 94.54 91 1 68 1.32 1 66.68 67
2 97 3.43 6 93.57 91 2 68 3.04 7 64.96 61
3 97 6.38 10 90.62 87 3 68 5.23 6 62.77 62
4 97 9.48 4 87.52 93 4 69 8.72 7 60.28 62
5 97 15.85 22 81.15 75 5 68 12.60 14 55.40 54
6 97 23.05 26 73.95 71 6 68 19.88 17 48.12 51
7 97 35.47 27 61.53 70 7 68 29.04 21 38.96 47
8 97 50.99 55 46.01 42 8 68 38.89 36 29.11 32
9 97 71.98 68 25.02 29 9 68 50.88 46 17.12 22
10 96 90.39 87 5.61 9 10 68 62.86 60 5.14 8
C-statistic: 26.61   P value: <0.001   C-statistic: 14.71   P value: 0.06  
APACHE II SAPS II
Decile N PD AD PS AS Decile N PD AD PS AS
1 70 1.53 2 68.47 68 1 71 0.74 3 70.26 68
2 68 3.57 2 64.43 66 2 72 2.16 8 69.84 64
3 69 5.82 7 63.18 62 3 65 3.76 8 61.24 57
4 68 9.15 11 58.85 57 4 74 7.13 11 66.87 63
5 66 12.37 18 53.63 48 5 72 10.79 15 61.21 57
6 68 17.28 13 50.72 55 6 63 13.98 21 49.02 42
7 69 24.68 35 44.32 34 7 68 22.09 24 45.91 44
8 66 32.39 25 33.61 41 8 68 33.70 31 34.30 37
9 70 48.57 49 21.43 21 9 64 45.54 42 18.46 22
10 67 59.24 53 7.76 14 10 64 57.24 52 6.76 12
C-statistic: 21.87   P value: 0.005   C-statistic: 43.36   P value: <0.001  
  1. Degrees of freedom = 8. PD, predicted to die; PS, predicted to survive; AD, actually died; AS, actually survived.