| Development group (N= 390,577) | Validation group (N= 105,030) | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Variables | Fulfilled 3/3 criteria | Did not fulfill criteria | Fulfilled 3/3 criteria | Did not fulfill criteria |
(n= 223,023, 57.1%) | (n= 167,554, 42.9%) | (n= 60,205, 57.3%) | (n= 44,825, 42.7%) | |
Unfavorable (CPC categories 3 to 5), n | 222,642 | 161,691 | 60,132 | 42,751 |
Favorable (CPC categories 1 and 2), n | 381 | 5,863 | 73 | 2,074 |
Sensitivity (95% CI) | 0.579 (0.578 to 0.581) | 0.585 (0.582 to 0.588) | ||
Specificity (95% CI) | 0.939 (0.933 to 0.945) | 0.966 (0.958 to 0.973) | ||
PPV (95% CI) | 0.998 (0.998 to 0.999) | 0.999 (0.999 to 0.999) | ||
NPV (95% CI) | 0.035 (0.034 to 0.036) | 0.046 (0.044 to 0.048) | ||
Area under the ROC curve (95% CI) | 0.922 (0.921 to 0.923) | 0.942 (0.941 to 0.944) |